Villarreal visit Rayo Vallecano at the Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid for the 37th La Liga matchday on Sunday. Both teams have done well in their own right in this campaign and will be keen to push for more points in the final two domestic games of 2025-26.
Villarreal have enjoyed an incredible season and will be playing UEFA Champions League football next term. That is not necessarily something football analysts would have expected at the start of the season.
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El Submarino Amarillo have secured 21 wins this term, though their most recent match at home against Sevilla ended in a 3-2 loss, despite goals from Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze.
Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 with Valencia on Thursday, with Florian Lejeune’s opener canceled out by Diego Lopez for Los Che.
Los Franjirrojos may find it somewhat difficult to focus on La Liga at the moment, as they have a big European final coming up that is taking up much of their planning and attention.
After a fine run in the UEFA Conference League, Vallecano have reached the final, where they will face English side Crystal Palace on Wednesday, 27 May. The Spanish side have never won a European competition, and their place in the final is historic.
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Villarreal have been dominant against Rayo Vallecano in recent seasons, having won six of the last 10 La Liga matches against their next opponents.
- Alongside Real Betis (15 draws), Rayo Vallecano have been the kings of drawing matches this season, with 14 stalemates in 36 matches.
- While Villarreal often win this fixture when playing at home, Rayo have secured draws in two of their last three home games against the Yellow Submarine.
- The reverse fixture played in November 2025 ended 4-0 in favor of Villarreal.
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction
Rayo Vallecano play high-energy football geared at putting their opponents under pressure, especially when they are at home.
Villarreal, on the other hand, aim to keep possession and move forward through quick transitions. The visitors will hope that their opponents are distracted by the upcoming Conference League final, as they push for a positive finish to a successful season.
We expect Villarreal to secure a narrow victory in Rayo’s backyard.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal betting tips
Tip 1: Villarreal to win
Tip 2: Both teams to score
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Edited by Peter Pedroncelli