The Nvidia Vera chip is rarely the headline when earnings beat estimates, but it should be. When Nvidia reported Q1 revenue of US$81.62 billion on Wednesday, beating analyst estimates of US$78.86 billion, and guided Q2 at US$91 billion–well above Wall Street’s US$86.84 billion forecast–the numbers did what Nvidia numbers always do: dominate the room.
But buried in CEO Jensen Huang’s conference call with analysts was something more strategically interesting than another quarterly beat. Huang told analysts that Nvidia’s new Vera central processors unlock access to a US$200 billion market, one that sits entirely outside the US$1 trillion the company has already forecast from its Blackwell and Rubin AI GPU lineup between 2025 and 2027.
He expects Vera chip revenue to hit US$20 billion by the end of this fiscal year. “I expect (Vera) to be the second largest” sales contributor, Huang said during the call.
That’s not a footnote. That’s a second front.
The Vera chip and the inference pivot
The reason Nvidia needs a second front is straightforward: its biggest customers are building their own. Google, Amazon, and Microsoft–collectively expected to pour more than US$700 billion into AI infrastructure this year, up sharply from around US$400 billion in 2025, are simultaneously pouring funds into custom silicon to run AI models. Intel and AMD are also touting CPUs as a credible play for inference workloads.
The narrative in the chip industry has shifted from who can train the biggest model to who can serve it cheapest and fastest. Inference is where Nvidia’s GPU dominance is most exposed. Training large models is still firmly Nvidia territory, but inference, generating answers at scale, in real time, is increasingly where custom chips from Google’s TPU line, Amazon’s Trainium and others are making their case.
Nvidia’s answer is Vera. The chip, developed in part using technology from Groq, a startup specialising in inference that Nvidia licensed in a deal reportedly worth around US$17 billion, targets exactly this workload. The full Vera Rubin platform, which combines the Vera CPU with Rubin GPUs, is set to launch later this year.
Supply is already the constraint
Huang was candid about one problem: supply. “My sense is that we’ll be supply-constrained through the entire life of Vera Rubin,” he said on the call. It’s a telling admission for a product Nvidia is positioning as a major growth pillar. To get ahead of disruptions, Nvidia is spending heavily on the supply chain. The company disclosed that its supply commitments rose to US$119 billion in Q1, up from US$95.2 billion the previous quarter, a significant jump that reflects both confidence in demand and anxiety about a global memory chip crunch.
Nvidia also announced a US$80 billion share repurchase programme and raised its quarterly cash dividend to 25 cents per share, from 1 cent, moves that signal financial confidence even as Huang warned of tightening supply.
The question investors are asking
Despite the beats, Nvidia shares fell 1.6% in extended trading after the results. eMarketer analyst Jacob Bourne captured the mood: “Nvidia delivered another beat, but at this point that’s essentially priced in as it keeps beating quarter after quarter. The lingering question is whether it can convince investors the AI buildout has durability into 2027 and 2028, especially as the narrative shifts toward inference workloads and competing silicon from Google, Amazon, AMD, and Intel.”
Huang pushed back with numbers of his own. He pointed to a growing sub-segment of AI-specific cloud customers whose spend is now roughly equal to the hyperscalers, but growing faster quarter-over-quarter. “We should be growing faster than hyperscale capex,” he said.
The Vera chip is central to that argument. Whether the supply chain cooperates is a different question entirely.
(Image source: Nvidia’s Newsroom)
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