Powerful solar activity can create stunning auroras on Earth, but outside the protection of our planet’s magnetic field, the Sun can become extremely dangerous. Violent eruptions such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections can blast high energy particles through space, creating serious risks for astronauts and spacecraft.
Some of these eruptions produce solar proton events (SPEs), during which charged particles race toward Earth at speeds reaching 90% of the speed of light. In 1972, several SPEs erupted between the Apollo 16 and Apollo 17 Moon missions. If astronauts had been exposed during a lunar mission, they could have faced lethal radiation levels. As space agencies prepare for future Moon exploration, scientists are working to better understand these unpredictable solar events.
Researchers at the Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology (OIST) have now developed a new way to uncover evidence of past SPEs. The team combined medieval historical records with ultra precise carbon 14 measurements taken from buried asunaro trees in northern Japan. Using this method, they identified a solar proton event that likely occurred sometime between the winter of 1200 CE and the spring of 1201 CE, a period marked by unusually intense solar activity. The findings were published in the Proceedings of the Japan Academy, Series B.
Professor Hiroko Miyahara from the OIST Solar-Terrestrial Environment and Climate Unit explained: “Previous studies on historical SPEs have focused on rare, extremely powerful events. Our paper provides a basis for detecting sub-extreme SPEs — events that occur more frequently and are around 10-30% of the size of the most extreme cases, but still hazardous. Sub-extreme SPEs are more challenging to detect, but our method now allows us to efficiently identify them and better understand the conditions under which they are more likely to occur.”
Ancient Trees Preserve Clues About Solar Storms
Earth’s magnetic field blocks most high energy particles released during SPEs. Near the poles, however, magnetic field lines open into space, allowing some particles to enter the atmosphere. During especially powerful events, these particles collide with atmospheric gases and create carbon 14 compounds that spread around the globe and become trapped inside living organisms.
By analyzing carbon 14 levels in preserved organic material such as ancient buried trees, scientists can track changes in solar activity stretching back thousands of years. The OIST team used an ultra precise measurement technique they spent more than a decade refining. This method can detect much smaller carbon 14 fluctuations than conventional techniques, making it possible to identify weaker “sub-extreme” solar proton events that were previously invisible.
Because the carbon 14 analysis is extremely time intensive, the researchers first needed clues about when unusual solar activity may have occurred.
Medieval Japanese Diary Revealed “Red Lights” in the Sky
One of the key clues came from Meigetsuki, the diary of the Japanese poet and courtier Fujiwara no Teika (1162-1241). In February 1204 CE, he described seeing “red lights in the northern sky over Kyoto.”
Solar proton events do not directly create auroras, but they are often linked with the same kinds of solar disturbances that do. That historical observation gave researchers a timeframe to investigate more closely.
The scientists then measured carbon 14 levels in buried asunaro wood recovered from Aomori Prefecture in northern Japan. They discovered spikes in carbon 14 that pointed to a sub-extreme solar proton event. By combining those measurements with dendroclimatic studies — that is, a dating method based on comparing patterns of tree-ring growth associated with regional climate — the researchers determined that the event likely occurred sometime between the winter of 1200 CE and the spring of 1201 CE. Historical records from China also described a red aurora visible at unusually low latitudes during that same period.
Evidence of an Exceptionally Active Sun
“The high-precision data not only allowed us to accurately date sub-extreme solar proton events, but it also lets us clearly reconstruct the solar cycles of the period,” said Miyahara. “Today, the Sun’s activity fluctuates over eleven-year-long cycles, but we’ve found that the cycle was just seven to eight years long back then, indicating a very active Sun. The SPE we have dated occurred at the peak of one of these cycles.”
The research helps fill important gaps in the history of solar activity and improves scientists’ understanding of dangerous space weather events. According to Miyahara, carbon 14 analysis alone is not enough. Historical records and other scientific methods are also essential for reconstructing past solar behavior.
“Historical literature provides a candidate time window, and dendroclimatology enables direct intercomparison between detected SPE and reports of sunspots and auroras recorded in literature. Integrated approaches like these are necessary to accurately reconstruct past solar activity, helping us better understand the characteristics of extreme space weather,” concluded Miyahara. “For example, while the SPE we found occurred near the peak of the solar cycle, some of the prolonged low-latitude aurora recorded in the literature seems to fall near the minimum of our reconstructed solar cycle. This is unexpected, and we’re excited to look further into what solar conditions could cause this.”